BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
NC State
Class: 1 Class Rank: 10 Overall: (31-7) Overall Strength = 60.48
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-6) | District: 1-01 Record: (22-7)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2023 Home W 72.97 84 43 1 126 ( 16- 15) Charlotte 12.48 * 28.52
2 11-12-2023 Home W 76.46 92 81 1 2 ( 33- 6) Connecticut 15.98 -4.98
3 11-15-2023 Home W 70.83 90 35 1 284 ( 11- 21) Elon 10.35 * 44.65
4 11-19-2023 Home W 46.93 67 58 1 82 ( 21- 14) Rhode Island -13.55 22.55
5 11-23-2023 Neutral W 63.38 84 55 1 129 ( 12- 20) Kentucky 2.89 26.11
6 11-24-2023 Neutral W 74.08 79 45 1 87 ( 14- 18) Cincinnati 13.60 20.40
7 11-25-2023 Neutral W 76.99 78 60 1 14 ( 24- 10) Colorado 16.50 1.50
8 11-29-2023 Home W 52.29 70 62 1 53 ( 23- 10) Vanderbilt -8.20 16.20
9 12-03-2023 Home W 50.65 79 61 1 120 ( 22- 12) Illinois St -9.84 * 27.84
10 12-10-2023 Home W 43.55 80 67 1 136 ( 18- 16) Liberty -16.93 * 29.93
11 12-16-2023 Away W 52.15 66 54 1 106 ( 19- 14) South Florida -8.33 20.33
12 12-20-2023 Away W 73.78 87 50 1 132 ( 22- 10) Old Dominion 13.30 23.70
13 12-31-2023 Away W * 59.32 72 61 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia -1.16 12.16
14 01-04-2024 Home W * 55.38 88 80 1 1 42 ( 23- 11) Florida St -5.10 13.10
15 01-07-2024 Away L * 58.63 62 63 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech -1.85 0.85
16 01-11-2024 Home W * 70.03 93 66 1 56 ( 16- 16) Virginia 9.55 17.45
17 01-18-2024 Away L * 36.11 59 73 1 51 ( 19- 12) Miami FL -24.37 10.37
18 01-21-2024 Home W * 70.26 72 57 1 17 ( 22- 12) Duke 9.78 5.22
19 01-25-2024 Away W * 65.48 71 49 1 80 ( 12- 19) Clemson 5.00 17.00
20 01-28-2024 Away W * 66.02 82 61 1 74 ( 14- 19) Boston College 5.54 15.46
21 02-01-2024 Home W * 52.43 63 59 1 36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina -8.05 12.05
22 02-05-2024 Home W * 62.17 77 67 1 24 ( 24- 10) Louisville 1.69 8.31
23 02-08-2024 Home L * 43.34 61 72 1 21 ( 25- 8) Virginia Tech -17.14 6.14
24 02-11-2024 Away W * 71.31 83 47 1 144 ( 8- 24) Pittsburgh 10.82 25.18
25 02-15-2024 Away W * 81.13 59 43 1 8 ( 28- 7) Notre Dame 20.65 -4.65
26 02-18-2024 Home W * 41.35 86 85 1 1 69 ( 17- 16) Georgia Tech -19.13 20.13
27 02-22-2024 Away L * 43.72 70 80 1 36 ( 20- 13) North Carolina -16.76 6.76
28 02-25-2024 Away L * 49.56 58 69 1 17 ( 22- 12) Duke -10.93 -0.07
29 02-29-2024 Home W * 51.41 75 71 1 1 41 ( 24- 8) Syracuse -9.08 13.08
30 03-03-2024 Home W * 51.69 75 57 1 115 ( 7- 25) Wake Forest -8.79 26.79
31 03-08-2024 Neutral W * 60.91 54 51 1 17 ( 22- 12) Duke 0.43 2.57
32 03-09-2024 Neutral W * 76.03 69 43 1 42 ( 23- 11) Florida St 15.55 10.45
33 03-10-2024 Neutral L * 58.48 51 55 1 8 ( 28- 7) Notre Dame -2.00 -2.00
34 03-23-2024 Home W 50.83 64 45 1 127 ( 28- 5) Chattanooga -9.66 * 28.66
35 03-25-2024 Home W 59.21 79 72 1 23 ( 20- 13) Tennessee -1.28 8.28
36 03-29-2024 Away W 76.46 77 67 1 7 ( 30- 6) Stanford 15.98 -5.98
37 03-31-2024 Neutral W 76.55 76 66 1 4 ( 33- 5) Texas 16.07 -6.07
38 04-05-2024 Neutral L 56.49 59 78 1 1 ( 38- 0) South Carolina -4.00 -15.00
Averages 60.48 73.4 60.7
Best game: 81.13 = 16 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 36.11 = 14 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 12.12